Noob to online betting , tips wanted

**gustavo** · 28/02/2007, 3:43 PM

Hi might as well make the first thread here .
So i got my paddypower online account but so far things arent going great .
Whats the best strategies , I tend to go for the accumulator bets mostly on football as i figure even having a slight knowledge of football removes some of the luck factor.

**centre mid** · 01/03/2007, 11:21 AM

Only back singles, statisticaly you will not win on acc's in the long run, open more that one accountn ( i.e different bookmakers ) and only back at the best price available, failing that open up a betfair account and lay everything you've backed at a smaller price

**JC_GUFC** · 01/03/2007, 11:44 AM

Pretty much what centre mid said is spot on.

Just because you put 5 results together and the odds are 200/1 makes the accum sound like value but the true odds should be more like 1000/1!

Obviously if you've got accounts with all the major bookies you'll always be able to get the best odds on offer, maximising your profits.

**wws** · 01/03/2007, 11:46 AM

check out the threads on odds comparison sites as well - it will give you an idea of the differences between the major bookies in prices for different markets - they can be considerable

**JW.** · 01/03/2007, 2:01 PM

Back drifting prices on Betfair and lay heavily-backed teams as a general rule.

**cullenswood** · 01/03/2007, 2:25 PM

Originally Posted by JW.

Back drifting prices on Betfair and lay heavily-backed teams as a general rule.

Care to explain your rationale for this?

**DmanDmythDledge** · 01/03/2007, 3:48 PM

Is it possible to bet online with a 3V card?

**centre mid** · 01/03/2007, 4:02 PM

Not sure, the card probably doesnt have any holder details and they are ususally required for registration purposes

**JW.** · 01/03/2007, 5:14 PM

Originally Posted by cullenswood

Care to explain your rationale for this?

A heavily-backed team is more likely to have gone beyond the point of value, whereas a drifting team is more likely to have gotten too big.

**cullenswood** · 01/03/2007, 6:45 PM

Originally Posted by JW.

A heavily-backed team is more likely to have gone beyond the point of value, whereas a drifting team is more likely to have gotten too big.

Interestingly risky!

**JW.** · 01/03/2007, 10:03 PM

If a team has gone from 1.7 to 1.4, and 1.4 is the lowest it has touched, and it is 1.4 shortly before kick-off, do you think at that point the value - if there is any - is a bet or a lay?

**Dodge** · 01/03/2007, 11:14 PM

Depends on the circumstances JW

If you have them as a 1.3 shot, it doesn't matter that they've been backed into 1.40 or whether they've drifted out to 1.4

**JW.** · 02/03/2007, 2:37 PM

True enough Dodge but it's far more likely they'd be a 1.5 shot than a 1.3 shot (ie not many 1.3 shots are 1.7 at any stage

)

**Dodge** · 02/03/2007, 2:43 PM

Aye, except in the first division until your man got into PP

**JW.** · 02/03/2007, 3:29 PM

Yes indeed

Likely Division 1 will be the place for the value this year. Did you back Cork to cover your Saints bet?

**Dodge** · 02/03/2007, 3:34 PM

No, its only €25 quid hard money as the other €25 was match free. No point in laying that off

**JC_GUFC** · 02/03/2007, 3:54 PM

Originally Posted by Dodge

No, its only €25 quid hard money as the other €25 was match free. No point in laying that off

That's exactly what I said when I had Cuba backed to win the inaugural World Baseball Challenge. My own €25 at 25/1 and a free €40 at 33/1.

They got to the final against Japan where both teams were 2.0 on betfair to win. I decided to hold out for the near 2k pay day! In the first innings Japan scored a grand slam!