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Thread: LOI Week 7

  1. #1
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    LOI Week 7

    Cork City vs Sligo Rovers

    The Rebel Army continued to demolish opponents and is deservedly situated in the first place on goal difference even though they have one game less (canceled visit to Limerick on Monday). The latest victim was the greatest club in the country Shamrock whom were finally defeated after seven unsuccessful duels at their Turner's Cross. With bad weather and huge support from the stands, the Leesiders scored three goals (3:0) although were without the best three attackers (A. Elding, M. Rafter and D. Morrissey long-term injured). Also, their most experienced midfielder C. Healy is a highly doubtful for this game. Sligo Rovers are the biggest disappointment in the league and the only one without a scored goal away from home so far. One of the reasons for this are definitely the long term injuries of club legends, A. Peers and R. Cretaro. They lost the North-West derby in Derry on Friday and played only a draw against Drogs in the last home game, both games without their best striker D.North due to injury and so will be now. The Bit o' Red will continue a busy schedule with the Setanta Cup return match away to St Patrick's on Monday.

    It is clear that Cork is more rested team, in a much better mood, with great support once again - but one shouldn't ignore the fact that they have not scored a goal in seven of the last nine games with Sligo. At first glance, I thought home odds are really high but I expect this to be a tricky game where guests have a chance cause will play without any pressure here and the wounded lion is a the most dangerous then. I leave (Cork DNB) what I had in mind...

    UCD vs Dundalk

    The Students have played 75 consecutive games that has had at least one goal in it, amazing series without a goalless game. They won a deserved point against Limerick (1:1), but were defeated by Shamrock later. There was 0:2, but could easily have at least another three or four goals in the net that their goalie wasn't really good. The most experienced centre back I. Ryan, right back M. Langtry and in-form left winger A. Ben Mohamed were injured, and will likely skip the game again. Dundalk manager Stephen Kenny had good record against UCD, 9-2-1 (32:13). The Lilywhites confirmed that they're the best physical and the fitness prepared team in the league since were beaten Pats 4:1 (altough were losing at ht) and Derry 3:0 (goalless at ht). It is obvious that a great playing in the second half is their most powerful weapon this season. The most experienced defender M. Rossiter missed both games, but he recovered as well as midfielders K. Ward and D. Meenan. Only J. Mountney from midfield looks set to miss out for the second time during the space of a week. Keep in mind that the team will play two times with Shamrock in the next seven days.

    Two consecutive matches with less than three goals for the Students is surprising mini-series to everyone and now all expect a festival of goals. But many forget that there is a new coach Aaron Callaghan after four years and his philosophy doesn't have to coincide with the previous one, attractive and open. While their goalkeeper is in top form, and on the other side I don't think the Lilywhites will play at their full strength for following difficult games versus Shams. Odds are fair and I can't find attractive bet here.

    Drogheda Utd vs Bray Wanderers

    Home side won the last three mutual matches against Wanderers at Hunky Dorys Park, but more apparent is that there are a lot of goals in the meetings between these two (24 goals in the last six h2h games). The Boynesiders are fired up, actually the club legend D. O'Brien is on fire, scored all five the club's goals in the last three games and with a total of seven, he is the league top scorer at the moment. M. Schlingermann and P. Crowley are long-term injured and with respect to their small squad should be noted that only M. Daly and D. Doyle haven't played both games (where the team realized satisfying results) in the past seven days. A back up midfielder A. McCann will miss the remainder of the season with a broken leg, but there is no a new important absences. Just one point from two matches against teams from Dublin was overshadowed a Bray's bright beginning of the season. In fact, that one point against Bohemians (that played with a ten players for 70 minutes) is their only one in the last four games. The Seagulls were quite poor in home defeat against champions (1:3) without the help of regular keeper S. Redmond, defenders both of the O'Connor's, midfielders J. Kelly, A. Hanlon and E. McGill. All of them will be out once again and midfielder S. Byrne is the new one on the missing players list.

    It is clear that Drogs are the favorite here, but bookies are really overestimating them, imo. Actually, I don't know how their key older players will react in the third game in seven days. On the other side, away coach Alan Matthews has a number of problems and I believe that will set up a very defensive tactics cause there are not many experienced players who know how to cope in these situations. Perhaps the tradition will continue and Drogheda may be victorious and there can be a lot of goals goals, but these odds are not appealing to me.
    Until The Last Rebel!

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    Bohemians vs Limerick

    The meeting between two of the three teams in the league that still don't have a victory at home so far. Bohs are better in the table because they have better performance away, but we shouldn't forget Limerick beat them all three times last season (twice 1:0 and 2:1). Behind the ******* are two completely different games: they played 70 minutes with ten players on Friday in a 1:1 draw with Bray, but had one extra player for most of the second half on Monday when defeated the last placed Athlone with 3:1. Regular goalie D. Delany served the suspension in that game, but they had no any difficulty due to bad turn of circumstances for home team. Midfielders A. Murphy, A. Mulligan and captain D. Mulcahy are long term injuries, as well as defender J. Memery. On the other hand, the Superblues have scored just three goals in five games and therefore unexpected break (haven't played a match on Monday due to a damaged pitch of rugby match) was welcomed for them. Also, it's known that there were as many as six regulars injured at the start of the season so these days off were really beneficial for the team. Otherwise, they've earned a deserved draw at UCD Bowl on Friday, without right back S. Kelly and long-term injured duo M. Leahy & D. Galbraith. Now there are several doubtful players including their captain S. Duggan, but only the long-term injured are sure absences.

    Follows a series of very difficult games for Bohs and I'm not sure they will be very focused tonight since their manager Owen Heary may give a chance to some players who haven't played much so far. Lims are more rested team here and are becoming stronger over time because many regular players returning from injury (B. Ryan, S. Oji, R. Williams and C. Curran). Their coach Stuart Taylor attended the last game of tonight's opponents and I estimate that he has a well thought-out tactic for a good result.

    bet: Limerick double chance
    odds: @1.95 (bwin)
    stake: 1/5

    St Patrick's vs Shamrock Rovers

    A great Dublin derby between the two strongest teams in the league (imo) that being from the South side of the Liffey, the battle of master (Pats manager Liam Buckley) and servant (Shams manager Trevor Croly who was assistant at St Patrick's previously). Both of them have suffered a surprisingly heavy defeats on Friday, but both are back on the winning track with a convincing and easy triumphs on Monday. Also, both sides have in mind the Setanta Cup return matches early next week. Pats were without suspended top players K. Brennan and G. Bolger in a win against Bray (3:1) after the debacle versus Dundalk (1:4) at home. Centre back K. Oman was injured and now they've concerns about G. O'Brien and K. Fahey because they had left the last match due to minor injuries. Though, they are available and a midfield duo B & B returns from suspension, only defender K. Oman is in doubt. The Hoops were without a long-term injured centre back D. O'Connor and captain S. Robinson (only in the second match) in loss at Cork (0:3) and in the win against UCD (2:0), the first one is out again, while the latter is doubtful.

    It will be the most interesting match of this round without a doubt with both sides are very eager to win that would maintain them close to the top. I really wouldn't have dared to predict the winner at Ricmond Park, but we should see a couple of goals especially if the opening being in the early part of the game. Their this season's stats also supports the goals: the Saints three home games = 12 goals; the Hoops three away games = 12 goals. Also, there were less than two scored goals just once in the last ten mutual matches so this shouldn't be a bad wager.

    bet: over 2 goals
    odds: @1.85 (bet365)
    stake: 2/5

    Derry City vs Athlone Town

    Interesting stats for the first half of these teams: the only ones in the league that haven't scored in the first half of the six games. However, the difference is that City didn't even conceded, while Town conceded six. Derry City manager Roddy Collins has achieved promotion to the Premier Division with Athlone Town last year. After the first win of the season on Friday (1:0 against Sligo), the Candystripes were very poor in Dundalk (0:3) due to bad decisions of coach Roddy Collins (both McEleney's and R. Patterson were on the bench). Another bad news from that match was a serious injury of their key centre back R. McBride who miss this match. Also, midfielders B. McNamee is a long-term injured and B. Molloy is a slightly doubtful. Athlone is already in a very difficult situation, lost all six matches having three conceded goals in each of their last three games. They were with the strongest line-up and didn't play poorly in the last game, but this time luck wasn't on their side to get to the first point(s). In fact, they have lost two key centre backs (A. Collins was injured and D. Prendergast was sent-off), while J. O'Brien scored a freak own goal in a defeat 1:3 against Bohemians. Their coach may have many missings tonight: both key centre backs A. Collins (captain) and D. Prendergast are definitely out, while N. Harney (another centre back), S. Byrne (left back), A. Byrne (defensive midfielder and a vice-captain) and J. O'Brien (midfielder) all expected to take late fitness tests.

    Both sides have something to change in order to improve their positions. I'm quite sure that Derry will finally play more offensive for the first time this season since manager Roddy Collins is very familiar with this opponent and it's time that last year's top scorer of the league R. Patterson back on track, especially as he was rested in the last game. Nevertheless, without R. McBride in the heart of the defense the Town will have a chance for scoring through their experienced offensive players, but if some of doubtful players not being fit, they'll have big problems in defense. It should be an exciting match at Brandywell.

    bet: over 2,5 goals
    odds: @1.79 (pinnacle)
    stake: 2/5

    bet: Derry City (-1EH)
    odds: @2.16 (unibet)
    stake: 2/5
    Until The Last Rebel!

  3. #3
    International Prospect bennocelt's Avatar
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    Shelbourne at -1 V galway screams at me!!! 11/2 at pp

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    Capped Player nigel-harps1954's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by bennocelt View Post
    Shelbourne at -1 V galway screams at me!!! 11/2 at pp
    Silly bet! Galway could well win that one.
    https://kesslereffect.bandcamp.com/album/kepler - New music. It's not that bad.

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    International Prospect bennocelt's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by nigel-harps1954 View Post
    Silly bet! Galway could well win that one.
    was silly, shud have just went with the 8/5 for the win, and doubled it with dundalk

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    Capped Player nigel-harps1954's Avatar
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    Glad I didn't go for Galway. Saved my money this week thankfully!
    https://kesslereffect.bandcamp.com/album/kepler - New music. It's not that bad.

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    UCD 10/3 to beat Bohs. Looks a draw on paper, but monster, monster value.
    A leading authority on League of Ireland football since 2003. You're probably wrong.

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